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The Partai Kebangkitan Bangsa (PKB) is set to hold a crucial meeting next week with former Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan to discuss his potential candidacy in the upcoming Jakarta Regional Head Election (Pilkada) 2024. This move by PKB underscores a strategic effort to leverage Anies Baswedan’s perceived high electability, a factor the party believes positions him strongly for a return to the gubernatorial office. The announcement, made by PKB’s Pilkada Desk Treasurer Ahmad Iman Sukri during a press conference at the DPP PKB Office in Central Jakarta on Wednesday, May 29, 2024, highlights the burgeoning political dynamics shaping the capital’s electoral landscape.

The directive for this high-stakes discussion originated directly from PKB Chairman Muhaimin Iskandar, affectionately known as Cak Imin. Iskandar and Baswedan share a significant political history, having recently partnered as presidential and vice-presidential candidates in the 2024 general election. Their alliance, though ultimately unsuccessful in the presidential race, forged a bond that now appears poised to influence regional politics, particularly in the strategically vital capital city. Abdul Halim Iskandar, Chairman of the PKB Pilkada Desk, is slated to lead the meeting with Anies Baswedan, signaling the party’s serious intent in these deliberations.

Background and Context of Jakarta’s Political Significance

Jakarta, as the nation’s capital and economic hub, holds immense political weight. The governorship of Jakarta is often seen as a significant stepping stone to national leadership, a tradition exemplified by figures like President Joko Widodo, who previously served as Governor before ascending to the presidency. The Pilkada Jakarta 2024 is thus not merely a local election but a critical indicator of national political currents and future power dynamics. The city’s diverse demographics, complex urban challenges, and highly engaged populace make its gubernatorial race one of the most closely watched political contests in Indonesia.

Anies Baswedan’s previous tenure as Governor from 2017 to 2022 was marked by several high-profile initiatives and policies, including efforts to address perennial urban issues such as flooding, public transportation, and environmental sustainability. His administration also oversaw the development of key infrastructure projects and cultural programs. These experiences, coupled with his strong public profile cultivated during his presidential campaign, contribute significantly to the "high electability" cited by PKB. Even after his presidential bid concluded, Anies Baswedan’s public recognition and support base, particularly within Jakarta, appear to have remained robust, making him a compelling candidate for various political factions.

The Evolution of the Anies-Muhaimin Alliance

The relationship between Anies Baswedan and Muhaimin Iskandar deepened considerably during their joint campaign for the 2024 presidential election under the banner of the Koalisi Perubahan (Change Coalition). This alliance, which also included the Partai NasDem and the Partai Keadilan Sejahtera (PKS), represented a significant bloc aiming to challenge the status quo. Despite falling short in the national contest, the partnership provided both figures with extensive national exposure and solidified their political collaboration. For PKB, supporting Anies Baswedan in Jakarta could be seen as a continuation of this political synergy, offering a tangible opportunity to secure a prominent executive position for their allied candidate and maintain their influence in a key region.

Muhaimin Iskandar’s explicit instruction for PKB to engage with Anies Baswedan underscores a strategic decision to capitalize on an established political relationship and a proven electoral asset. The party’s assessment of Anies’s sustained popularity post-presidential election is a crucial driver. Ahmad Iman Sukri emphasized this point, stating, "So far, Mr. Anies’s surveys are still high. Perhaps next week we will meet, and hopefully, Jakarta will soon be fixed." This sentiment reflects PKB’s optimism that Anies Baswedan represents a strong, viable candidate who could secure victory in the upcoming gubernatorial race, thereby enhancing PKB’s regional influence and potentially strengthening its bargaining power in future national political realignments.

Chronology of Key Events Leading to Pilkada 2024 Discussions

The path to the current discussions is rooted in a series of significant political events:

• 2017 Jakarta Gubernatorial Election: Anies Baswedan, then supported by Gerindra and PKS, defeated incumbent Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (Ahok) and Djarot Saiful Hidayat. This victory propelled Anies into a prominent national figure.
• 2017-2022 Gubernatorial Term: Anies Baswedan served a full five-year term, implementing various programs and policies that shaped public perception and built his political brand.
• 2022 End of Term: Anies Baswedan’s term concluded, leaving the Jakarta governorship in the hands of an interim appointed official in preparation for the 2024 Pilkada.
• 2023 Presidential Candidacy Announcement: Anies Baswedan declared his intention to run for president, eventually forming the Koalisi Perubahan with NasDem, PKS, and later, PKB.
• August 2023: Muhaimin Iskandar joined Anies Baswedan as his running mate, forming the Anies-Muhaimin (AMIN) ticket for the presidential election. This marked the formalization of their political alliance.
• February 2024 Presidential Election: The AMIN ticket competed against two other pairs, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD. The AMIN ticket ultimately placed second in the official results.
• April 2024: The Constitutional Court rejected the election dispute petitions filed by the AMIN and Ganjar-Mahfud camps, solidifying the presidential election outcome.
• May 29, 2024: PKB announced its intention to meet with Anies Baswedan to discuss the Jakarta Pilkada 2024, signaling the transition of focus from national to regional elections.
• November 2024: The nationwide simultaneous regional elections (Pilkada Serentak) are scheduled, including the Jakarta gubernatorial election.

This timeline illustrates the seamless transition of Anies Baswedan’s political trajectory from a popular governor to a presidential contender, and now, potentially, back to the gubernatorial race, all while maintaining a consistent political alliance with PKB.

Potential Running Mates and Internal Party Dynamics

Beyond Anies Baswedan’s candidacy, the discussion will also encompass the crucial choice of a running mate (cawagub). Ahmad Iman Sukri indicated that discussions on this front would follow, including the possibility of pairing Anies with an internal PKB cadre. "Regarding the deputy and various other matters, it just needs to be communicated," he stated, highlighting the party’s flexibility but also its strategic interest in securing the deputy governor position.

One prominent internal candidate for the deputy governor role mentioned is Ida Fauziyah. Ida Fauziyah is a seasoned politician and a key figure within PKB, currently serving as the Minister of Manpower in President Joko Widodo’s cabinet. Her extensive experience in both legislative and executive branches of government, coupled with her strong ties to NU (Nahdlatul Ulama) — the largest Islamic organization in Indonesia and a traditional base for PKB — makes her a formidable choice. A pairing of Anies Baswedan with Ida Fauziyah could offer a balanced ticket, combining Anies’s broad appeal and intellectual background with Ida’s robust party machinery, governmental experience, and appeal to a significant segment of the electorate. Such a pairing would also represent a strategic move by PKB to ensure its direct representation in the Jakarta administration.

Broader Implications and Political Landscape

The potential re-nomination of Anies Baswedan by PKB carries significant implications for the broader political landscape in Jakarta and nationally.

• Coalition Building: PKB’s early move to engage Anies Baswedan could set the tone for coalition formation. While PKB’s five seats in the Jakarta Regional House of Representatives (DPRD) are not enough to independently nominate a candidate (a minimum of 22 seats or 20% of the total 110 seats is required), their endorsement of Anies could attract other parties. The previous Koalisi Perubahan partners, particularly PKS and NasDem, are likely to consider supporting Anies, given their past alliance and his strong base. PKS, with its substantial support in Jakarta, has historically been a strong proponent of Anies.
• Competition from Other Parties: Other major parties are also actively preparing for the Jakarta Pilkada.
  • PDI-P: As the party with the most seats nationally and a strong presence in Jakarta, PDI-P is expected to field a strong candidate, possibly a prominent figure like former Jakarta Governor Djarot Saiful Hidayat or even a national figure. Their ideological differences with Anies could make them a direct challenger.
  • Gerindra: Having previously supported Anies, Gerindra’s current alignment as the ruling party and President-elect Prabowo Subianto’s party may lead them to field their own candidate or support an ally who aligns with the new national administration. Figures like Ridwan Kamil (former West Java Governor) or even Kaesang Pangarep (President Jokowi’s youngest son) have been floated in various speculative discussions.
  • Golkar: As a major coalition partner of Gerindra, Golkar will also be looking to place its cadres in strategic positions, potentially endorsing a candidate aligned with the incoming national government.
  • PSI: The Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI), which has gained significant traction among younger voters in Jakarta, will also be a factor, potentially endorsing a candidate aligned with their progressive platform.
• National Political Realignment: The outcome of the Jakarta Pilkada could be a bellwether for the effectiveness of post-presidential election political alliances. If the Koalisi Perubahan parties successfully unite behind Anies and secure a victory, it could signal the continued relevance of this opposition bloc in regional politics. Conversely, a defeat could lead to further fragmentation.
• Policy Direction for Jakarta: Anies Baswedan’s potential return would bring back his distinctive policy approach, which often emphasizes social equity, cultural preservation, and environmental initiatives. This contrasts with more development-focused or infrastructure-heavy approaches advocated by other political factions. The election will, therefore, be a referendum on the future policy direction of Jakarta.
• Youth and Millennial Vote: Jakarta has a significant population of young and millennial voters who are highly engaged with social media and urban issues. Candidates’ abilities to connect with this demographic will be crucial. Anies Baswedan’s strong social media presence and perceived charisma could be an advantage here.

The Jakarta gubernatorial election 2024 is shaping up to be a multifaceted political contest, with high stakes for all involved. PKB’s proactive engagement with Anies Baswedan marks an early and decisive move in what promises to be a complex and highly competitive race, ultimately determining the leadership of Indonesia’s capital for the next five years and potentially influencing the national political trajectory for years to come. The coming weeks, leading up to the formal registration period for candidates, will undoubtedly witness intense negotiations and strategic maneuvers as parties finalize their candidacies and coalition arrangements.